Professor James Raymer
PhD in Geography, University of Colorado, Boulder
School of Demography
ANU College of Arts and Social Sciences
Areas of expertise
- Demography 1603
- Migration 160303
- Human Geography 1604
Research interests
James Raymer's research focuses on the study of demographic processes. He is especially interested in estimating migration flows in instances where data are inadequate or missing. He has engaged in many interdisciplinary and international research collaborations on topics ranging from statistical estimation of migration to population forecasting. His migration research has focused on both internal migration (in Australia, England and Wales, Italy, USA) and international migration flows (among countries in Europe and the Asia Pacific).
He is currently leading a project on school enrolment analyses and project funded by the Australian Capital Territory Education Directorate.
Biography
James Raymer obtained his PhD in Geography from the University of Colorado, Boulder, United States.
In 2013, he joined the Australian National University (ANU) from the University of Southampton as a Vice Chancellor’s Strategic Appointment in Demography, and soon assumed leadership of the Australian Demographic and Social Research Institute. As Director, he was key to the Institute’s successful transition into a School of Demography. He completed his term as Head of the School of Demography at the end of 2016.
He has published over 80 works. Many of his journal articles have been published in the top journals of demography, regional science, geography and statistics.
He has received funding for eight major competitive grants with two involving international partners and six involving interdisciplinary teams. The grants have come from the Economic and Social Research Council (UK), New Opportunities for Research Funding Cooperation Agency in Europe, the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (UK), Australian Research Council and the National Health and Medical Research Council (Australia).
He has received consultancy funds from the European Commission / Eurostat for modelling statistical data on migration and migrant populations; Office for National Statistics for improving estimates of migration flows for Eurostat and producing a conceptual framework for UK population and migration statistics; the National Records for Scotland for reviewing methods for estimating populations with administrative data; the Australian Capital Territory's Education Directorate for several projects related to school enrolment analyses and projections; the United Nations Statistical Division for the assistance in activities related to the measurement of migration; and the United Nations Population Division for developing model age profiles of international migration.
He teaches undergraduate and postgraduate courses on migration, spatial population analyses and population projections.
Current student projects
Tim Carlton – Indigenous identification and measuring Indigenous outcomes
Erin Daly – How Australia is responding to the migration obstacles instigated by the Covid-19 pandemic
Qing Guan - Evolution of the Chinese-born population in Australia by period and cohort
Ayumi Malamassam - Internal migration in Indonesia: Spatial patterns of human capital flows and effects on regional development
Publications
- Raymer J, Guan Q, Shen T, Wisniowski A and Pietsch J (2022) Estimating international migration flows for the Asia-Pacific region: Application of a generation-distribution model. Migration Studies 10(4), 631-669.
- Guan Q, Raymer J and Gray E (2022) Identifying different sources of school enrolment change in the Australian Capital Territory. Australian Population Studies 6(1), 37-40.
- Baffour B, Raymer J and Evans A (2021) Recent trends in immigrant fertility in Australia. Journal of International Migration and Integration 22(3), 1205-1226.
- Raymer J (2021) Future of spatial demography. Looking back, looking forward: Progress and prospect for spatial demography, Matthews SA and Stiberman L, Eds. Spatial Demography 9(1), 3-5.
- Raymer J and O'Donnell J (2021) The demography of migration. In The economic geography of cross-border migration, Kourtit K, Newbold B, Nijkamp P and Partridge M (Eds.), pp. 55-75. Springer, Cham.
- Matsui N and Raymer J (2020) The push and pull factors contributing to asylum migration from developing countries to developed countries since 2000. International Migration 58(6), 210-231.
- Raymer J, Bai X and Liu N (2020) The dynamic complexity of Australia's immigration and emigration flows from 1981 to 2016. Journal of Population Research 37, 213-242.
- Raymer J, Bai X, Liu N and Wilson T (2020) Estimating a consistent and detailed time series of immigration and emigration for sub-state regions of Australia. Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy 13(2), 411-439.
- Raymer J, Bai X, Liu N and Wilson T (2020) Reconciliation of Australian demographic data to study immigrant population change across space and time. Spatial Demography 8(2), 123-153.
- Raymer J, Bai X and Smith PWF (2020) Forecasting origin-destination-age-sex migration flow tables with multiplicative components. In Developments in demographic forecasting, Mazzuco S and Keilman N (Eds.), pp. 217-242. Springer, Cham.
- Raymer J, Guan Q, Norman RJ, Ledger W and Chambers GM (2020) Projecting future utilisation of medically assisted fertility treatments. Population Studies 74(1), 23-38.
- Abel G, Raymer J and Guan Q (2019) Driving factors of Asian international migration flows. Asian Population Studies 15(3), 243-265.
- Baffour B and Raymer J (2019) Estimating multiregional survivorship probabilities for sparse data: An application to immigrant populations in Australia, 1981-2011. Demographic Research 40(18), 463-502.
- Chambers G, Harrison C, Raymer J, Raymer AKP, Britt H, Chapman M, Ledger W and Norman R (2019) Infertility management in women and men attending primary care: Patient characteristics, management actions and referrals. Human Reproduction 34(11), 2173-2183.
- Raymer J, Guan Q and Ha JT (2019) Overcoming data limitations to obtain migration flows for ASEAN countries. Asian and Pacific Migration Journal 28(4), 385-414.
- Raymer J, Liu N and Bai X (2019) Age articulation of Australia's international migration flows. In Population, place, and spatial interaction: Essays in honor of David Plane, Franklin R, Ed., pp. 171-200. Springer, Singapore.
- Raymer J, Willekens F and Rogers A (2019) Spatial demography: A unifying core and agenda for further research. Population Space and Place 25(4), 1-13.
- Raymer J and Baffour B (2018) Subsequent migration of immigrants within Australia, 1981-2016. Population Research and Policy Review 37(6), 1053-1077.
- Raymer J, Shi Y, Guan Q, Baffour B and Wilson T (2018) The sources and diversity of immigrant population change in Australia, 1981-2011. Demography 55(5), 1777-1802.
- Raymer J, Shi Y, O'Donnell J and Biddle N (2018) Multistate projections of Australia's Indigenous population: Interacting area group and identification status change. Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 16, 135-162.
- Raymer J and Wisniowski A (2018) Applying and testing a forecasting model for age and sex patterns of immigration and emigration. Population Studies 72(3), 339-355.
- DeWaard J, Ha JT, Raymer J and Wisniowski A (2017) Migration from new-accession countries and duration expectancy in the EU-15: 2002-2008. European Journal of Population 33(1):33-53.
- Raymer J (2017) Measuring flows of international migration: Consistent measures of migration are needed to understand patterns and impacts on labor market outcomes. IZA World of Labor 354: 1-10.
- Raymer J, Biddle N and Campbell P (2017) Analysing and projecting Indigenous migration in Australia. Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy 10(2):211-232.
- Raymer J, Biddle N & Guan Q (2017) A multiregional sources of growth model for school enrolment projections. Australian Population Studies 1(1): 26-40.
- Wilson T and Raymer J (2017) The changing shape of Australia's overseas-born population. Population & Societies 545:1-4.
- Raymer J (2016) Migration in Europe. In International Handbook of Migration and Population Distribution, White MJ, Ed., pp. 371-388. Springer, Dordrecht.
- Willekens F, Massey D, Raymer J and Beuchemin C (2016) International migration under the microscope: Fragmented research and limited data must be addressed. Science 352(6288):897-899.
- Wisniowski A, Forster JJ, Smith PWF, Bijak J and Raymer J (2016) Integrated modelling of age and sex patterns of European migration. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society) 179(4):1007-1024.
- O'Donnell J and Raymer J (2015) Identification change and its effect on projections of the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population in Australia. Journal of Population Research 32(3-4):297-319.
- Raymer J, Rees P and Blake A (2015) Frameworks for guiding the development and improvement of population statistics in the United Kingdom. Journal of Official Statistics 31(4):699-722.
- Wisniowski A, Smith PWF, Bijak J, Raymer J and Forster JJ (2015) Bayesian population forecasting: Extending the Lee-Carter method. Demography 52:1035-1059.
- Shang H, Wisniowski A, Bijak J, Smith PWF and Raymer J (2014) Bayesian functional models for population forecasting. In Proceedings of the Sixth Eurostat/UNECE Work Session on Demographic Projections, Marsili M and Capacci G, Eds., pp. 313-325. Istituto Nazionale di Statistica, Rome.
- Waller L, Berrington A and Raymer J (2014) New insights into the fertility patterns of recent Polish migrants in the United Kingdom. Journal of Population Research 31(2):131-150.
- Abel GJ, Bijak J, Forster JJ, Raymer J and Smith PWF (2013) Integrating uncertainty in time series forecasts: An illustration using a simple projection model. Demographic Research 29(44):1227-1260.
- Little J and Raymer J (2013) Log-linear models of migration flows. In Tools for demographic estimation, Moultrie T, Dorrington R, Hill A, Hill K, Timaeus I and Zaba B, Eds., pp. 403-419. International Union for the Scientific Study of Population, Paris.
- Raymer J, Wisniowski A, Forster JJ, Smith PWF and Bijak J (2013) Integrated modeling of European migration. Journal of the American Statistical Association 108(503):801-819.
- Raymer J, Yildiz D and Smith PWF (2013) Review of methods for estimating populations with administrative data. Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute, University of Southampton. Report prepared for the National Records of Scotland, Edinburgh.
- Wisniowski A, Bijak J, Christiansen S, Forster JJ, Keilman N, Raymer J & Smith PWF (2013) Utilising expert opinion to improve the measurement of international migration in Europe. Journal of Official Statistics 29(4):583-607.
- DeWaard J, Kim K and Raymer J (2012) Migration systems in Europe: Evidence from harmonized flow data. Demography 49(4):1307-1333.
- DeWaard J and Raymer J (2012) The temporal dynamics of international migration in Europe: Recent trends. Demographic Research 26:543-592.
- Raymer J, Abel GJ and Rogers A (2012) Does specification matter? Experiments with simple multiregional probabilistic population projections. Environment and Planning A 44(11):2664-2686.
- Raymer J, De Beer J and Van der Erf R (2011) Putting the pieces of the puzzle together: Age and sex-specific estimates of migration amongst countries in the EU/EFTA, 2002-2007. European Journal of Population 27(2):185-215.
- Raymer J, Smith PWF and Giulietti C (2011) Combining census and registration data to analyse ethnic migration patterns in England from 1991 to 2007. Population Space and Place 17(1):73-88.
- Abel GJ, Bijak J and Raymer J (2010) A comparison of official population projections with Bayesian time series forecasts for England and Wales. Population Trends 141(Autumn):95-114.
- De Beer J, Raymer J, Van der Erf R and Van Wissen L (2010) Overcoming the problems of inconsistent international migration data: A new method applied to flows in Europe. European Journal of Population 26(4):459-481.
- Edmonston B, Raymer J and Salzmann T (2010) Introduction. In Demographic aspects of migration, Salzmann T, Edmonston B and Raymer J, Eds., pp. 11-27. VS Verlag, Wiesbaden.
- Raymer J (2010) A general framework for estimating population movements. In Demographic aspects of migration, Salzmann T, Edmonston B and Raymer J, Eds., pp. 73-96. VS Verlag, Wiesbaden.
- Raymer J and Giulietti C (2010) Analysing structures of interregional migration in England. In Technologies for migration and commuting analysis: Spatial interaction data applications, Stillwell J, Duke-Williams O and Dennett A, Eds., pp. 280-293. IGI Global Publishing, Hershey.
- Raymer J and Smith PWF, Eds. (2010) Introduction to special issue: Modelling migration flows. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society) 173(4):703-705.
- Rogers A, Little J and Raymer J (2010) The indirect estimation of migration: Methods for dealing with irregular, inadequate, and missing data. Springer, Dordrecht.
- Salzmann T, Edmonston B and Raymer J, Eds. (2010) Demographic aspects of migration. VS Verlag, Wiesbaden.
- Smith PWF, Raymer J and Giulietti C (2010) Combining available migration data in England to study economic activity flows over time. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society) 173(4):733-753.
- Raymer J and Giulietti C (2009) Ethnic migration between area groups in England and Wales. Area 41(4):435-451.
- Raymer J and Willekens F (2008) Introduction and outline. In International migration in Europe: Data, models and estimates, Raymer J and Willekens F, eds., pp. 1-8. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester.
- Raymer J (2008) Obtaining an overall picture of population movement in the European Union. In International migration in Europe: Data, models and estimates, Raymer J and Willekens F, Eds., pp. 209-234. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester.
- Raymer J and Rogers A (2008) Applying model migration schedules to represent age-specific migration flows. In International migration in Europe: Data, models and estimates, Raymer J and Willekens F, Eds., pp. 175-192. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester.
- Raymer J and Willekens F, Eds. (2008) International migration in Europe: Data, models and estimates. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester.
- Raymer J (2007) The estimation of international migration flows: A general technique focused on the origin-destination association structure. Environment and Planning A 39(4):985-995.
- Raymer J and Rogers A (2007) Using age and spatial flow structures in the indirect estimation of migration streams. Demography 44(2):199-223.
- Raymer J, Abel GJ and Smith PWF (2007) Combining census and registration data to estimate detailed elderly migration flows in England and Wales. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society 170(4):891-908.
- Raymer J, Bonaguidi A and Valentini A (2006) Describing and projecting the age and spatial structures of interregional migration in Italy. Population Space and Place 12(5):371-388.
- Rogers A and Raymer J (2005) Origin dependence, secondary migration, and the indirect estimation of migration flows from population stocks. Journal of Population Research 22(1):1-19.
- Rogers A, Raymer J and Newbold KB (2003) Reconciling and translating migration data collected over time intervals of differing widths. The Annals of Regional Science 37(4):581-601.
- Rogers A, Willekens F and Raymer J (2003) Imposing age and spatial structures on inadequate migration-flow datasets. Professional Geographer 55(1):56-69.
- Rogers A, Raymer J and Willekens F (2002) Capturing the age and spatial structures of migration. Environment and Planning A 34(2):341-359.
- Rogers A, Willekens F, Little J and Raymer J (2002) Describing migration spatial structure. Papers in Regional Science 81(1):29-48.
Projects and Grants
Grants information is drawn from ARIES. To add or update Projects or Grants information please contact your College Research Office.
- ACT Treasury population projections (Primary Investigator)
- State Population Projections Model for the Centre for Population (Primary Investigator)
- ACT Department of Education Demography Researcher Partnership (Primary Investigator)
- East Gungahlin demographic and mobility assessment (Primary Investigator)
- Overcoming the problems of inconsistent migration data in the Asia Pacific (Primary Investigator)
- Review of school enrolment projection methodology for ACT Education Directorate (Primary Investigator)
- Accountable fertility treatment: An evidenced-based framework for the provision of cost-effective, patient-centred fertility treatment in Australia (Secondary Investigator)
- The demographic consequences of migration to, from and within Australia (Primary Investigator)
- Improved Indigenous population projections for effective policy and planning (Secondary Investigator)
