Professor James Raymer
Areas of expertise
- Demography 1603
- Migration 160303
- Human Geography 1604
Research interests
James Raymer's research interests include migration and dynamic population modelling. He has led projects on combining internal migration data, estimating consistent and complete matrices of international migration in Europe, and population forecasting in the United Kingdom. He is currently working on two Australian projects on developing improved population projections for the Indigenous population and studying the demographic consequences of migration to, from and within Australia. In 2017, he will lead a new project on overcoming the problems of inconsistent migration data in the Asia Pacific funded by the Australian Research Council.
Biography
James Raymer is a Professor in the School of Demography at the Australian National University. From 2013 to 2016, he served as the Director of the Australian Demographic and Social Research Institute before leading the creation of the new School of Demography in 2015 and becoming the Head of School. Prior to that, he worked in the Division of Social Statistics and the ESRC Research Centre for Population Change at the University of Southampton, England. He has published articles in demography, applied statistics, regional science and geography, and has co-authored three books entitled The Indirect Estimation of Migration, Demographic Aspects of Migration and International Migration in Europe.
He has taught undergraduate and postgraduate courses on migration, population analyses and population projections. For the Master of Demography at ANU, he currently teaches DEMO8047 International Migration, DEMO8063 Spatial Population Data Analysis and DEMO8092 Demographic Modelling.
He obtained his PhD in Geography from the University of Colorado, Boulder, United States.
Current student projects
Qing Guan - Evolution of the Chinese-born population in Australia by period and cohort
Nerida Hunter - Geodemographic and life course perspectives of population ageing in Australia
Marie McAuliffe - Self-agency and asylum: Who, how and why people undertake long and dangerous migration journeys
James O'Donnell - A demographic framework for understanding the dynamics of homelessness
Reiko Okumura-Rougeux - Demographic change and school-to-work transitions of young people in Indonesia
Tita Tabije - Socio-economic structures and population growth in Australia's capital cities
Publications
- Raymer J, Biddle N and Campbell P (2017) Analysing and projecting Indigenous migration in Australia. Applied Spatial Analysis and Policy 10(2):211-232.
- DeWaard J, Ha JT, Raymer J and Wisniowski A (2017) Migration from new-accession countries and duration expectancy in the EU-15: 2002-2008. European Journal of Population 33(1):33-53.
- Raymer J (2016) Migration in Europe. In International Handbook of Migration and Population Distribution, White MJ, Ed., pp. 371-388. Springer, Dordrecht.
- Willekens F, Massey D, Raymer J and Beuchemin (2016) International migration under the microscope: Fragmented research and limited data must be addressed. Science 352(6288):897-899.
- Wisniowski A, Forster JJ, Smith PWF, Bijak J and Raymer J (2016) Integrated modelling of age and sex patterns of European migration. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society) 179(4):1007-1024.
- O'Donnell J and Raymer J (2015) Identification change and its effect on projections of the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander population in Australia. Journal of Population Research 32(3-4):297-319.
- Raymer J, Rees P and Blake A (2015) Frameworks for guiding the development and improvement of population statistics in the United Kingdom. Journal of Official Statistics 31(4):699-722.
- Wisniowski A, Smith PWF, Bijak J, Raymer J and Forster JJ (2015) Bayesian population forecasting: Extending the Lee-Carter method. Demography 52:1035-1059.
- Shang H, Wisniowski A, Bijak J, Smith PWF and Raymer J (2014) Bayesian functional models for population forecasting. In Proceedings of the Sixth Eurostat/Unece Work Session on Demographic Projections, Marsili M and Capacci G, Eds., pp. 313-325. Istituto Nazionale di Statistica, Rome.
- Waller L, Berrington A and Raymer J (2014) New insights into the fertility patterns of recent Polish migrants in the United Kingdom. Journal of Population Research 31(2):131-150.
- Raymer J, Yildiz D and Smith PWF (2013) Review of methods for estimating populations with administrative data. Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute, University of Southampton. Report prepared for the National Records of Scotland, Edinburgh.
- Abel GJ, Bijak J, Forster JJ, Raymer J and Smith PWF (2013) Integrating uncertainty in time series forecasts: An illustration using a simple projection model. Demographic Research 29(44):1227-1260.
- Little J and Raymer J (2013) Log-linear models of migration flows. In Tools for demographic estimation, Moultrie T, Dorrington R, Hill A, Hill K, Timaeus I and Zaba B, Eds., pp. 403-419. International Union for the Scientific Study of Population, Paris.
- Raymer J, Wisniowski A, Forster JJ, Smith PWF and Bijak J (2013) Integrated modeling of European migration. Journal of the American Statistical Association 108(503):801-819.
- Wisniowski A, Bijak J, Christiansen S, Forster JJ, Keilman N, Raymer J & Smith PWF (2013) Utilising expert opinion to improve the measurement of international migration in Europe. Journal of Official Statistics 29(4):583-607.
- DeWaard J, Kim K and Raymer J (2012) Migration systems in Europe: Evidence from harmonized flow data. Demography 49(4):1307-1333.
- DeWaard J and Raymer J (2012) The temporal dynamics of international migration in Europe: Recent trends. Demographic Research 26:543-592.
- Raymer J, Abel GJ and Rogers A (2012) Does specification matter? Experiments with simple multiregional probabilistic population projections. Environment and Planning A 44(11):2664-2686.
- Raymer J, De Beer J and Van der Erf R (2011) Putting the pieces of the puzzle together: Age and sex-specific estimates of migration amongst countries in the EU/EFTA, 2002-2007. European Journal of Population 27(2):185-215.
- Raymer J, Smith PWF and Giulietti C (2011) Combining census and registration data to analyse ethnic migration patterns in England from 1991 to 2007. Population Space and Place 17(1):73-88.
- Abel GJ, Bijak J and Raymer J (2010) A comparison of official population projections with Bayesian time series forecasts for England and Wales. Population Trends 141(Autumn):95-114.
- De Beer J, Raymer J, Van der Erf R and Van Wissen L (2010) Overcoming the problems of inconsistent international migration data: A new method applied to flows in Europe. European Journal of Population 26(4):459-481.
- Edmonston B, Raymer J and Salzmann T (2010) Introduction. In Demographic aspects of migration, Salzmann T, Edmonston B and Raymer J, Eds., pp. 11-27. VS Verlag, Wiesbaden.
- Raymer J (2010) A general framework for estimating population movements. In Demographic aspects of migration, Salzmann T, Edmonston B and Raymer J, Eds., pp. 73-96. VS Verlag, Wiesbaden.
- Raymer J and Giulietti C (2010) Analysing structures of interregional migration in England. In Technologies for migration and commuting analysis: Spatial interaction data applications, Stillwell J, Duke-Williams O and Dennett A, Eds., pp. 280-293. IGI Global Publishing, Hershey.
- Raymer J and Smith PWF, Eds. (2010) Introduction to special issue: Modelling migration flows. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society) 173(4):703-705.
- Rogers A, Little J and Raymer J (2010) The indirect estimation of migration: Methods for dealing with irregular, inadequate, and missing data. Springer, Dordrecht.
- Salzmann T, Edmonston B and Raymer J, Eds. (2010) Demographic aspects of migration. VS Verlag, Wiesbaden.
- Smith PWF, Raymer J and Giulietti C (2010) Combining available migration data in England to study economic activity flows over time. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society) 173(4):733-753.
- Raymer J and Giulietti C (2009) Ethnic migration between area groups in England and Wales. Area 41(4):435-451.
- Raymer J and Willekens F (2008) Introduction and outline. In International migration in Europe: Data, models and estimates, Raymer J and Willekens F, eds., pp. 1-8. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester.
- Raymer J (2008) Obtaining an overall picture of population movement in the European Union. In International migration in Europe: Data, models and estimates, Raymer J and Willekens F, Eds., pp. 209-234. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester.
- Raymer J and Rogers A (2008) Applying model migration schedules to represent age-specific migration flows. In International migration in Europe: Data, models and estimates, Raymer J and Willekens F, Eds., pp. 175-192. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester.
- Raymer J and Willekens F, Eds. (2008) International migration in Europe: Data, models and estimates. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester.
- Raymer J (2007) The estimation of international migration flows: A general technique focused on the origin-destination association structure. Environment and Planning A 39(4):985-995.
- Raymer J and Rogers A (2007) Using age and spatial flow structures in the indirect estimation of migration streams. Demography 44(2):199-223.
- Raymer J, Abel GJ and Smith PWF (2007) Combining census and registration data to estimate detailed elderly migration flows in England and Wales. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society 170(4):891-908.
- Raymer J, Bonaguidi A and Valentini A (2006) Describing and projecting the age and spatial structures of interregional migration in Italy. Population Space and Place 12(5):371-388.
- Rogers A and Raymer J (2005) Origin dependence, secondary migration, and the indirect estimation of migration flows from population stocks. Journal of Population Research 22(1):1-19.
- Rogers A, Raymer J and Newbold KB (2003) Reconciling and translating migration data collected over time intervals of differing widths. The Annals of Regional Science 37(4):581-601.
- Rogers A, Willekens F and Raymer J (2003) Imposing age and spatial structures on inadequate migration-flow datasets. Professional Geographer 55(1):56-69.
- Rogers A, Raymer J and Willekens F (2002) Capturing the age and spatial structures of migration. Environment and Planning A 34(2):341-359.
- Rogers A, Willekens F, Little J and Raymer J (2002) Describing migration spatial structure. Papers in Regional Science 81(1):29-48.
Projects and Grants
Grants are drawn from ARIES. To add Projects or Grants please contact your College Research Office.
- Overcoming the problems of inconsistent migration data in the Asia Pacific (Primary Investigator)
- Accountable fertility treatment: An evidenced-based framework for the provision of cost-effective, patient-centred fertility treatment in Australia (Secondary Investigator)
- The demographic consequences of migration to, from and within Australia (Primary Investigator)
- Improved Indigenous population projections for effective policy and planning (Secondary Investigator)
