Dr Collin Payne

PhD, Demography, University of Pennsylvania
Lecturer, School of Demography
ANU College of Arts and Social Sciences

Areas of expertise

  • Mortality 160304
  • Population Trends And Policies 160305
  • Applied Statistics 010401
  • Stochastic Analysis And Modelling 010406
  • Epidemiology 111706

Research interests

My main substantive research focuses on global population aging and health, primarily in low- and middle-income contexts. Current areas of work include:

  • Investigating changes in disability-free life expectancy across successive birth cohorts
  • Interrelations between mental, physical, and cognitive health
  • Family structure and health
  • Exposure to life-course trauma and late-life health and well-being

My methodological research interests include:

  • Longitudinal data analysis
  • Causal methods for population health research
  • Improved methods for projecting cohort life expectancy
  • Multistate life table methodology
  • Demographic applications of microsimulation models


Collin Payne joined the ANU School of Demography following a post-doctoral fellowship at the Harvard Center for Population and Development studies, and completed a Ph.D. in Demography at the University of Pennsylvania. His work has examined global trends in health and disability among older adults, with a primary focus on low- and middle-income contexts. His current methodological work focuses on strategies for estimating cohort changes in disability-free life expectancy, and using direct standardization (G-methods) to implement causal multistate life table models.

Researcher's projects

The Future of Ageing and Health in Low- and Middle-income Countries. ANU Futures Scheme, 2019-2022.

  • This project focuses on understanding the dynamic pathways connecting social, biological, developmental, and policy determinants of health, and will be used to develop comparative models of potential future trends of health and health-care needs in LMI countries. 

Surviving an epidemic: Families and well-being, Malawi, 1998-2020. NIH NICHD R01.

  • This project examines individual and household predictors of survival, resiliance, and recovery from the HIV epidemic in rural Malawi. 


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Updated:  17 July 2019 / Responsible Officer:  Director (Research Services Division) / Page Contact:  Researchers