Professor Benjamin Goldsmith
Areas of expertise
- International Relations 160607
Research interests
International conflict and war; International public opinion; Nationalism and foreign policy; Genocide and mass atrocities; International relations of Asia
Biography
Benjamin E. Goldsmith is a Professor in the School of Politics and International Relations at the Australian National University. His research is in the areas of international relations, comparative foreign policy, and atrocity forecasting. He is the author of the book Imitation in International Relations: Observational Learning, Analogies, and Foreign Policy in Russia and Ukraine, as well as articles in leading academic journals including European Journal of International Relations, Journal of Conflict Resolution, Journal of Peace Research, Journal of Politics, Quarterly Journal of Political Science, and World Politics. His research has been supported by grants from the Australian Government’s Responsibility to Protect Fund and the Australian Research Council (ARC), including an ARC Future Fellowship (2015-18). He is a founding member of the executives of the Australian Society for Quantitative Political Science and the Pacific International Politics Conference. He holds a Ph.D. in Political Science (Michigan 2001) and an M.A. in Russian Area Studies (Georgetown 1995). Before joining ANU in 2017, he taught at other universities in Australia, Singapore, and the United States.
Researcher's projects
Discovery Grant, “Advancing Genocide Forecasting: New Definition, Methods, and Forecasts” (with Arcot Sowmya and Charles Butcher; DP1601101122), Australian Research Council, 2016-2018.
Future Fellowship, “Global Challenges, Reluctant Publics? The Role of Public Opinion in International Cooperation on Crucial Global Issues” (FT140100763), Australian Research Council, 2015-2018.
Publications
- Goldsmith, B, Horiuchi, Y & Matush, K 2021, 'Does Public Diplomacy Sway Foreign Public Opinion? Identifying the Effect of High-Level Visits', American Political Science Review, vol. 115, no. 4, pp. 1342 - 1357.
- Goldsmith, B & Bailo, F 2021, 'No paradox here? Improving theory and testing of the nuclear stability–instability paradox with synthetic counterfactuals', Journal of Peace Research, vol. 58, no. 6, pp. 1178ââ¬â1193.
- Butcher, C, Goldsmith, B, Nanlohy, S et al. 2020, 'Introducing the Targeted Mass Killing Data Set for the Study and Forecasting of Mass Atrocities', Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 64, no. 7-8, pp. 1524-1547.
- Chernykh, S, Goldsmith, B, Huddy, L et al. 2018, 'Electoral reform and voters' behaviour in Australia and New Zealand: editors' introduction to the special issue', Political Science, vol. 70, no. 2, pp. 97-101.
- Goldsmith, B, Semenovich, D, Sowmya, A et al. 2017, 'Political Competition and the Initiation of International Conflict: A New Perspective on the Institutional Foundations of Democratic Peace', World Politics, vol. 69, no. 3, pp. 493-531.
- Goldsmith, B & Butcher, C 2017, 'Genocide Forecasting: Past Accuracy and New Forecasts to 2020', Journal of Genocide Research, vol. 162, no. 2, pp. 1-18.
- Goldsmith, B 2017, 'Peace, War, Theory, and Evidence in East Asia', in William R Thompson (ed.), Oxford Encyclopedia of Empirical International Relations Theory, Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK, p. 24.
- Nanlohy, S, Butcher, C & Goldsmith, B 2017, 'The Policy Value of Quantitative Atrocity Forecasting Models', The RUSI Journal, vol. 162, no. 2, pp. 24-32pp.
- Goldsmith, B 2017, 'Peace by Trade', in Elin Bjarnegård and Joakim Kreutz (ed.), Debating the East Asian peace: what it is, how it came about, will it last?, NIAS Press, Copenhagen, pp. 13-35.
- Butcher, C & Goldsmith, B 2016, 'Elections, Ethnicity and Political Instability', Comparative Political Studies, vol. 50, no. 10, pp. 1390- 1419.
- Butcher, C & Goldsmith, B 2016, 'Economic Risk Factors and Predictive Modelling of Genocide and Mass Killing', in Charles H. Anderton and Jurgen Brauer (ed.), Economic Aspects of Genocides, Other Mass Atrocities, and Their Prevention, Oxford University Press, New York, pp. 569-590pp.
- Goldsmith, B 2014, 'Domestic political institutions and the initiation of international conflict in East Asia: some evidence for an Asian democratic peace', International Relations of the Asia-Pacific, vol. 14, no. 1, pp. 59-90pp.
- Goldsmith, B, Horiuchi, Y & Wood, T 2014, 'Doing Well by Doing Good: The Impact of Foreign Aid on Foreign Public Opinion', Quarterly Journal of Political Science, vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 87-114pp.
- Goldsmith, B 2014, 'The East Asian Peace as a Second-Order Diffusion Effect', International Studies Review, vol. 16, pp. 275-289pp.
- Goldsmith, B 2014, A Liberal Defense of Barack Obama’s Foreign Policy.
- Goldsmith, B, Horiuchi, Y & Wood, T 2014, Doing well by doing good: foreign aid improves opinions of the U.S..
- Goldsmith, B 2014, 'Book Review - Influence from Abroad: Foreign Voices, the Media, and U.S. Public Opinion, by Danny Hayes and Matt Guardino', Political Communication, vol. 31, no. 4, pp. 675-677pp.
- Goldsmith, B, Butcher, C, Semenovich, D et al. 2013, 'Forecasting the onset of genocide and politicide Annual out-of-sample forecasts on a global dataset, 1988–2003', Journal of Peace Research, vol. 50, no. 4, pp. 437-452pp.
- Goldsmith, B 2013, 'International Trade and The Onset and Escalation of Interstate Conflict: More to Fight About, or More Reasons Not to Fight?', Defence and Peace Economics, vol. 24, no. 6, pp. 555-578pp.
- Goldsmith, B, Semenovich, D & Sowmya, A 2013, 'Political Instability and Genocide: Comparing Causes in Asia and the Pacific and Globally ', in Deborah Mayersen and Annie Pohlman (ed.), Genocide and Mass Atrocities in Asia, Routledge, Oxon UK, pp. 136-157pp.
- Goldsmith, B 2013, 'Different in Asia? Developmental states, trade, and international conflict onset and escalation', International Relations of the Asia-Pacific, vol. 13, no. 2, pp. 175-205pp.
- Goldsmith, B & Linley, M 2012, 'Engaged or Not? Perceptions of Australian Influence among Asian Publics', Japanese Journal of Political Science, vol. 13, no. 4, pp. 525-551pp.
- Linley, M, Reilly, J & Goldsmith, B 2012, 'Who’s Afraid of the Dragon? Asian Mass Publics’ Perceptions of China’s Influence', Japanese Journal of Political Science, vol. 13, no. 4, pp. 501-523pp.
- Goot, M & Goldsmith, B 2012, 'Australia’s War in Iraq: Policy, Rhetoric and Public Opinion', in Richard Sobel, Peter Furia, and Bethany Barratt (ed.), Public Opinion and International Intervention: Lessons from the Iraq War, Potomac Books, Washington DC, pp. 47-68pp.
- Goldsmith, B & Horiuchi, Y 2012, 'In Search of Soft Power: Does Foreign Public Opinion Matter for US Foreign Policy?', World Politics, vol. 64, no. 3, pp. 555-585pp.
- Goldsmith, B 2010, 'Economic Factors in Peace and War: A discussion', in Professor Manas Chatterji (ed.), ECONOMICS OF WAR AND PEACE: ECONOMIC, LEGAL, AND POLITICAL PERSPECTIVES, EmeraldInsight, UK, pp. 263 - 282.
- Goldsmith, B & BRAUER, J, eds, 2010, ECONOMICS OF WAR AND PEACE: ECONOMIC, LEGAL, AND POLITICAL PERSPECTIVES, EmeraldInsight, UK.
- Goldsmith, B 2010, 'Book Review: Helen V. Milner and Andrew Moravcsik, eds., Power, Interdependence, and Nonstate Actors in World Politics', Australian Journal of Political Science, vol. 45, no. 3, pp. 525-526.
- Goldsmith, B 2010, 'A Liberal Peace in Asia?', Journal of Peace Research, vol. 44, no. 1, pp. 5-27.
- Goldsmith, B & BRAUER, J 2010, 'Introduction', in Professor Manas Chatterji (ed.), ECONOMICS OF WAR AND PEACE: ECONOMIC, LEGAL, AND POLITICAL PERSPECTIVES, EmeraldInsight, UK, pp. 1-9.
- Goldsmith, B & Horiuchi, Y 2009, 'Spinning the Globe? U.S. Public Diplomacy and Foreign Public Opinion', Journal of Politics, vol. 71, no. 3, pp. 863-875.
- Goldsmith, B 2008, 'Letting Go Without a Fight: Decolonization, Democracy and War, 1900–94', Journal of Peace Research, vol. 45, no. 5, pp. 587-611.
- Goldsmith, B, Chalup, S & Quinlan, M 2008, 'Regime Type and International Conflict: Towards a General Model', Journal of Peace Research, vol. 45, no. 6, pp. 743-763.
- Goldsmith, B 2007, 'Defense Effort and Institutional Theories of Democratic Peace and Victory Why Try Harder?', Security Studies, vol. 16, no. 2, pp. 189-222.
- Goldsmith, B 2007, 'Arms Racing in ‘Space’: Spatial Modelling of Military Spending around the World', Australian Journal of Political Science, vol. 42, no. 3, pp. 419-440.
- Goldsmith, B 2006, 'Regime Type, Post-Materialism, and International Public Opinion about US Foreign Policy: The Afghan and Iraqi Wars', Japanese Journal of Political Science, vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 23-39.
- Goldsmith, B 2006, 'A Universal Proposition? Region, Conflict, War and the Robustness of the Kantian Peace1', European Journal of International Relations, vol. 44, no. 4, pp. 533-563.
- Goldsmith, B 2005, 'Imitation in International Relations: Analogies, Vicarious Learning, and Foreign Policy', International Interactions, vol. 29, no. 3, pp. 237-267.
- Goldsmith, B, Horiuchi, Y & Inoguchi, T 2005, 'American Foreign Policy and Global Opinion WHO SUPPORTED THE WAR IN AFGHANISTAN?', Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 49, no. 3, pp. 408-429.
- Goldsmith, B 2003, 'IMITATION IN INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS: ANALOGIES, VICARIOUS LEARNING, AND FOREIGN POLICY', International Interactions, vol. 29, pp. 237-267.
- Goldsmith, B 2003, 'Bearing the Defense Burden, 1886-1989 WHY SPEND MORE?', Journal of Conflict Resolution, vol. 47, no. 5, pp. 551-573.
- Goldsmith, B 2003, 'Book Review: Judith Thornton and Charles E. Ziegler, eds. Russia’s Far East: A Region at Risk', Australian Journal of Political Science, vol. 11, no. 1, pp. 124-127.
- Goldsmith, B 2001, 'Economic Liberalism and Security Preferences: A Comparative Case Study of Russia and Ukraine in the 1990s', Demokratizatsiya:The Journal of Post-Soviet Democratization, vol. 9, no. 3, p. 399.
- Goldsmith, B 2001, 'Book Review: Christopher Hemmer. Which Lessons Matter?: American foreign policy decision making in the Middle East, 1979-1987 ', International Politics: a journal of transnational issues and global problems, vol. 38, no. 2, pp. 294-295.
- Goldsmith, B 2000, 'The Psychology of Being Overtaken By Events; Review of Don Oberdorfer, From the Cold War to a New Era. ', Peace and Conflict: Journal of Peace Psychology, vol. 6, no. 3, pp. 281-284.
- Goldsmith, B 1999, 'Book Review: Gary K. Bertsch and William C. Potter, eds., Dangerous Weapons, Desperate States: Russia, Belarus, Kazakstan, and Ukraine ', Canadian Journal of Political Science, vol. 34, no. 4, pp. 898-900.
- Goldsmith, B 1997, 'Russia, Ukraine and Kazakstan: Corporate Citizenship in Unstable Environments', in Noel M. Tichy, Andrew R. McGill, Lynda St. Clair (ed.), Corporate Global Citizenship: Doing Business in the Public Eye, New Lexington Press, California.
- Goldsmith, B 1997, 'Corporate Citizenship in India: Multinational Corporate Experiences and Best Practices ', in Noel M. Tichy, Andrew R. McGill, Lynda St. Clair (ed.), Corporate Global Citizenship: Doing Business in the Public Eye, New Lexington Press, California, pp. 326-347.